Ludogorets II vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LUD
2 - 0
NEF
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 0
LUD
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 3
LUD
32%
26%
41%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
LUD
1 - 0
MON
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
OBO
0 - 0
LUD
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
NES
1 - 5
BGA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SOZ
1 - 2
NES
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NES
2 - 3
FCT
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NES
4 - 2
LOK
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LOV
1 - 0
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |