Ludogorets III vs Dunav Ruse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
10º
1º
16
9º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 1
LUD
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KUB
1 - 3
LUD
5%
11%
84%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LUD
6 - 1
SEP
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
LUD
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LUD
3 - 1
SEP
42%
25%
32%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCF
3 - 0
DOR
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 2
FKR
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
2 - 0
DOR
7%
13%
79%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 1
LOR
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SGT
5 - 0
DOR
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |