Ludogorets III vs Volov Shumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+186%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
10º
1º
0
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 1
LUD
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KUB
1 - 3
LUD
5%
11%
84%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LUD
6 - 1
SEP
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
LUD
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LUD
3 - 1
SEP
42%
25%
32%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CHE
8 - 0
SHU
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SHU
3 - 2
BOT
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
SHU
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 0
DOR
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UST
4 - 1
SHU
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |