Luçon vs V.Châtillon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
LUC
41%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 3
CON
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 0
LUC
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
6 - 2
LAV
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PON
0 - 2
LUC
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
V.Châtillon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
VCH
1 - 0
SAU
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VCH
2 - 2
PLA
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CON
4 - 1
VCH
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VCH
2 - 2
AVR
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LAV
0 - 4
VCH
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +2 |