Luçon vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
LUC
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
LUC
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 1
RED
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 1
AMI
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
LUC
3 - 0
IST
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 3
AMI
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
4 - 1
SPI
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SPI
1 - 1
IST
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 1
SPI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 2
STR
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |