Luçon vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
YZE
1 - 3
LUC
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 0
LEM
38%
27%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
LUC
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 0
LES
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
GDB
0 - 1
LUC
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
RED
2 - 1
AUR
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
RED
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
RED
1 - 0
NIO
18%
27%
55%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
RED
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
RED
0 - 0
TOF
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |