Luçon vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GDB
2 - 2
LUC
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SAU
0 - 2
LUC
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LUC
3 - 2
VCH
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
LUC
41%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 3
CON
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PLA
0 - 2
LES
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PLA
5 - 3
LEH
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LEM
4 - 1
PLA
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
LUC
41%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VCH
2 - 2
PLA
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |