Luçon vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
TOF
0 - 1
LUC
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 4
PSG
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUC
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LUC
3 - 2
RED
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
YZE
1 - 3
LUC
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 0
AUR
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
BAL
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 3
NIO
25%
28%
48%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
FON
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TOF
1 - 1
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |