Luçon vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
AMI
0 - 0
LUC
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
LUC
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
LUC
3 - 2
CHA
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
USB
3 - 1
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
CHA
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
AVR
2 - 2
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 4
AVR
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
AVR
3 - 1
USB
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
AVR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
AVR
1 - 1
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |