Luçon vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 3
LUC
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUC
4 - 1
STA
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 1
LUC
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAE
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
LUC
3 - 1
VCH
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LEH
0 - 1
AVR
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AVR
1 - 0
TRE
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AVR
2 - 1
SAU
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
STA
1 - 1
AVR
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 1
AVR
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |