Luçon vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
LUC
19%
24%
58%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
LOR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAC
0 - 4
LUC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
LEM
2 - 2
LUC
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAE
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
AVR
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 1
LES
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FON
0 - 3
AVR
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PAC
1 - 1
AVR
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 0
ROM
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |