Lucksta vs Umeå FC Akademi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
41.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
12º
12º
24
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
OST
4 - 1
LUC
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 1
FIF
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BER
3 - 2
LUC
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 4
SKE
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KFF
2 - 0
LUC
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Umeå FC Akademi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BOD
7 - 1
UAK
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UAK
3 - 0
TAF
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
IFK
5 - 0
UAK
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
UAK
1 - 3
THO
9%
18%
73%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UAK
4 - 2
KFF
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |