Lucksta vs Skellefteå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
13º
10º
47
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KFF
2 - 0
LUC
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TAF
3 - 1
LUC
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 4
GIF
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 1
OST
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
YIK
4 - 3
LUC
65%
17%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Skellefteå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SKE
0 - 2
GIF
73%
17%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 3
SKE
16%
17%
67%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SKE
4 - 1
TAF
85%
11%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
BOD
2 - 1
SKE
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SKE
3 - 1
UAK
82%
12%
7%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |