Lucksta vs IFK Luleå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
13º
10º
40
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
THO
7 - 1
LUC
87%
8%
4%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OST
2 - 1
LUC
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 0
YIK
15%
17%
68%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 1
TAF
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GIF
3 - 2
LUC
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Luleå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 3
GIF
66%
19%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FIF
1 - 2
IFK
12%
16%
72%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 3
BER
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OST
2 - 2
IFK
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 1
YIK
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |