Luciano Manara vs Sovicese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luciano Manara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BIA
2 - 1
LUC
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 2
LIS
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 3
COL
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 2
LUC
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 0
BRE
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sovicese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COL
5 - 1
SOV
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SOV
0 - 2
VIM
12%
20%
69%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SOV
1 - 2
ARC
11%
19%
70%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 1
SOV
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SOV
1 - 1
CIS
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | +2 |