Luciano Manara vs Vimercatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luciano Manara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 0
SOV
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BIA
2 - 1
LUC
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 2
LIS
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 3
COL
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 2
LUC
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vimercatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 0
PON
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 1
LIS
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 1
CAL
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
5 - 2
VIM
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BIA
0 - 2
VIM
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |