Lucchese Libertas vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 2
GRO
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 2
ASL
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2007 |
ACS
0 - 0
ASL
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
CTT
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
50%
28%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SAS
1 - 0
PAV
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
CTT
2 - 0
SAS
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAS
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SAS
3 - 1
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
USC
1 - 0
SAS
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |