Lucchese Libertas vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 1
ASL
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 4
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PER
0 - 2
ASL
58%
24%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 1
REN
19%
26%
55%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
REN
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 0
PRO
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
LEO
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
LEO
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |