Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Last 16
Global 1-0
Lucchese Libertas vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
GER
1 - 0
ASL
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ASL
2 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
USC
1 - 0
ASL
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASL
3 - 2
SIE
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAD
1 - 3
ABN
64%
23%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ABN
3 - 1
SAN
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ABN
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
ABN
1 - 1
POR
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ACL
1 - 1
ABN
34%
29%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |