Lucchese Libertas vs Thermal Abano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAC
2 - 3
ASL
16%
23%
62%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 1
CAM
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CLO
0 - 4
ASL
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASL
6 - 0
RIC
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
ASL
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Thermal Abano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
THE
0 - 1
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
THE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
THE
4 - 1
MAS
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 2
THE
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 0
THE
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |