Lucchese Libertas vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
ASL
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
ASL
0 - 0
FCV
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 1
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ASL
1 - 2
BEN
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASL
1 - 0
CAV
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
PIS
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 1
VIR
51%
28%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 2
NUO
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 0
VIR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 0
SIR
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |