Lucchese Libertas vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SAL
0 - 0
ASL
52%
26%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 1
ACS
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CRO
2 - 1
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
ASL
31%
29%
39%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 1
ANC
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
SOR
1 - 1
SSS
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
SSS
2 - 0
PES
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
VIR
1 - 0
SSS
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
SSS
2 - 0
TAR
39%
29%
31%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |