Lucchese Libertas vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 2
PIA
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 2
MAN
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 0
ACL
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
SSM
2 - 2
CAG
7%
14%
79%
|
41 | 79 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
SSM
3 - 2
ABN
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
SSM
81%
14%
6%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
POP
3 - 1
SSM
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
USF
0 - 2
SSM
84%
10%
6%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | +2 |