Lucchese Libertas vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 0
ASL
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SIE
2 - 1
ASL
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAV
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 2
SAN
74%
19%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 5
SPA
22%
27%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PIS
2 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
PIS
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |