Lucchese Libertas vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 0
ASL
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ASL
4 - 0
PAD
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
FIO
1 - 0
ASL
60%
19%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
JUV
2 - 1
ASL
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ASL
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PAD
1 - 3
SAM
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 2
PAL
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 0
ROM
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
TRI
3 - 1
SAM
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
SAM
1 - 3
NOV
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |