Lucchese Libertas vs Recanatese analysis

Lucchese Libertas Recanatese
56 ELO 51
-12.6% Tilt -21%
3068º General ELO ranking 4356º
100º Country ELO ranking 147º
ELO win probability
48.7%
Lucchese Libertas
26.4%
Draw
24.9%
Recanatese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
Lucchese Libertas
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25%
Win probability
Recanatese
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lucchese Libertas
+8%
-24%
Recanatese

Points and table prediction

Lucchese Libertas
Their league position
Recanatese
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
14º
14º
38
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cesena
96
96
100%
Sassari Torres
75
75
100%
Carrarese
73
73
100%
Perugia
63
63
100%
AS Gubbio 1910
59
59
100%
Pescara
55
55
100%
Juventus Next Gen
54
54
100%
SS Arezzo
53
53
100%
Pontedera
52
52
100%
Rimini
10º
50
50
10º
100%
SPAL
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Virtus Entella
13º
45
45
12º
0%
Pineto
12º
45
45
13º
0%
Lucchese Libertas
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Sestri Levante
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Ancona
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Vis Pesaro
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Recanatese
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Fermana
19º
31
31
19º
100%
Olbia Calcio
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lucchese Libertas
Recanatese
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Lucchese Libertas
Recanatese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lucchese Libertas
Lucchese Libertas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2024
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
1 - 3
Sestri Levante
SES
51%
26%
24%
57 52 5 0
07 Jan. 2024
PRG
Perugia
3 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
71%
20%
10%
57 70 13 0
22 Dec. 2023
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
1 - 0
Ancona
ANC
42%
27%
31%
57 55 2 0
17 Dec. 2023
CAR
Carrarese
1 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
46%
28%
26%
58 57 1 -1
13 Dec. 2023
AVE
Avellino
0 - 1
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
53%
25%
22%
57 62 5 +1

Matches

Recanatese
Recanatese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2024
REC
Recanatese
1 - 1
Juventus Next Gen
JS2
41%
25%
34%
52 55 3 0
10 Jan. 2024
ASG
AS Gubbio 1910
3 - 1
Recanatese
REC
54%
25%
21%
53 59 6 -1
07 Jan. 2024
SAS
Sassari Torres
3 - 2
Recanatese
REC
52%
27%
22%
54 60 6 -1
23 Dec. 2023
REC
Recanatese
0 - 1
Virtus Entella
ACD
33%
28%
39%
54 61 7 0
09 Dec. 2023
REC
Recanatese
1 - 2
Cesena
CES
20%
25%
54%
55 69 14 -1