Lucchese Libertas vs Pro Vasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 0
ASL
16%
24%
61%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ASL
1 - 1
ASG
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASL
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ASL
1 - 0
ITA
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
NOC
1 - 1
ASL
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Vasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 0
FAN
28%
26%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FCC
3 - 2
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRO
24%
28%
48%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |