Lucchese Libertas vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 0
ASL
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 0
ASL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 2
PAR
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
ASL
73%
19%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
ABN
0 - 0
ASL
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PON
1 - 1
USA
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PIS
0 - 1
PON
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PON
4 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
EMP
3 - 0
PON
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
USA
2 - 1
PON
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |