Lucchese Libertas vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ASL
3 - 1
TUT
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
USA
2 - 1
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
OLB
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PON
1 - 0
PIA
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
RCR
0 - 0
PON
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PON
2 - 2
PIS
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
OLB
3 - 2
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
PON
2 - 2
COM
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |