Lucchese Libertas vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
4 - 3
ASL
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 2
SAV
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ASG
0 - 2
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ASL
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
LAQ
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 0
PON
55%
23%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 3
PON
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CTT
2 - 1
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |