Lucchese Libertas vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MAS
0 - 3
ASL
30%
31%
39%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 2
GSA
74%
18%
9%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 0
ASL
18%
27%
55%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASL
3 - 1
ASC
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ACS
0 - 1
ASL
17%
28%
55%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PON
1 - 3
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ORV
0 - 1
PON
16%
22%
63%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
PON
1 - 1
SGP
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
APC
0 - 2
PON
11%
19%
69%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
PON
4 - 0
RIE
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |