Lucchese Libertas vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
VNZ
3 - 1
ASL
58%
26%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ASL
5 - 2
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
USI
1 - 0
ASL
35%
31%
34%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ASL
5 - 0
PAV
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PIZ
0 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 1
SAS
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CTT
3 - 0
PIS
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
PIS
0 - 0
NOV
46%
29%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
PIZ
1 - 1
PIS
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PIS
0 - 0
PRO
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |