Lucchese Libertas vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
19.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASL
38%
31%
31%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAS
35%
27%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 2
GRO
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 2
ASL
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2007 |
ACS
0 - 0
ASL
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
PIS
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 1
PIS
49%
28%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PAD
2 - 1
PIS
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 1
MAS
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAS
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |