Lucchese Libertas vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
25.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CES
2 - 1
ASL
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ASL
2 - 2
PIS
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASL
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ASL
3 - 1
ACL
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASL
45%
27%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 1
RIM
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 1
PIS
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PIS
3 - 0
REG
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 2
PIS
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PIS
0 - 1
ACL
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |