Lucchese Libertas vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
30.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
USC
1 - 0
ASL
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
LEC
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
REG
0 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 0
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 1
ASL
25%
26%
48%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 0
SIE
49%
27%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 0
USC
60%
25%
16%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ABN
0 - 1
PIS
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
PIS
3 - 1
SAN
73%
19%
8%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
PIS
26%
29%
45%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |