Lucchese Libertas vs Olbia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ANC
2 - 1
ASL
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
VIS
0 - 1
ASL
31%
30%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
REC
0 - 0
ASL
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASL
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OLB
1 - 3
ASG
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 1
OLB
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
OLB
2 - 4
ANC
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 1
OLB
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OLB
1 - 2
FIO
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |