Lucchese Libertas vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VIN
1 - 2
ASL
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ACG
3 - 4
ASL
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASL
1 - 0
USP
80%
14%
5%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASL
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ASL
1 - 1
SCA
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
NOC
0 - 1
ACS
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
VFC
1 - 1
NOC
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
NOC
3 - 0
ACG
65%
21%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 0
NOC
63%
22%
14%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 3
NOC
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |