Lucchese Libertas vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
SIE
2 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
LEC
3 - 1
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 2
TER
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
TER
3 - 0
ASL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
FIA
1 - 3
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
ACP
7 - 1
MON
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |