Lucchese Libertas vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
PES
3 - 0
ASL
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
VNZ
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
EMP
0 - 1
ASL
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 0
USF
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASL
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
LEC
1 - 1
RAV
67%
19%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
PAL
2 - 3
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
LEC
1 - 1
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
USC
0 - 1
LEC
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
LEC
3 - 1
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |