Lucchese Libertas vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
ASL
0 - 2
REG
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
PAL
2 - 2
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
ASL
2 - 1
PIS
68%
21%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
ASL
3 - 1
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASL
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
GEN
3 - 1
CHI
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
REG
0 - 0
GEN
31%
28%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
GEN
0 - 1
PRG
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
PIS
0 - 0
GEN
16%
25%
59%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
REG
2 - 1
GEN
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |