Lucchese Libertas vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
4 - 0
ASL
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACS
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
ASL
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ASL
0 - 1
GRO
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
COM
1 - 1
ASL
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
FRO
1 - 0
PIS
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
FRO
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
FRO
1 - 0
PIS
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 1
FRO
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 1
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |