Lucchese Libertas vs Fossano Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 0
ASL
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ASL
1 - 0
SAV
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
ASL
16%
28%
56%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ASL
0 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GHI
1 - 1
ASL
26%
28%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fossano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FOS
2 - 0
LAV
31%
22%
46%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VFC
0 - 2
FOS
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOS
0 - 0
CAR
19%
20%
60%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FEZ
3 - 1
FOS
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FOS
4 - 0
VER
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |