Lucchese Libertas vs Formigine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
IMO
0 - 1
ASL
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ASL
1 - 2
ROM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
3 - 3
ASL
17%
24%
60%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ASL
0 - 2
PIA
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PIA
0 - 1
ASL
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Formigine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 4
COR
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 3
FOR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
MEZ
32%
25%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
FOR
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ROS
4 - 3
FOR
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |