Lucchese Libertas vs Formigine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ASL
3 - 1
PIA
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 2
ASL
18%
24%
59%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ASL
2 - 4
VIR
74%
18%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASL
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 4
ASL
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Formigine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
FOR
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
FID
1 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
ROS
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MEZ
3 - 0
FOR
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 3
MAS
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |