Lucchese Libertas vs Fidenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
ASL
13%
22%
65%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASL
0 - 0
MEZ
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
ASL
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASL
4 - 2
SIR
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
JUS
4 - 1
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fidenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FID
0 - 1
SPA
16%
24%
59%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ROS
2 - 0
FID
37%
25%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FID
1 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 1
FID
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FID
0 - 0
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |