Lucchese Libertas vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 1
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ASL
1 - 2
BEN
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASL
1 - 0
CAV
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASL
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ASL
0 - 1
TAR
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
CAV
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TER
3 - 2
FCV
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
GEL
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
FCV
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FCV
0 - 2
JUS
37%
28%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |