Lucchese Libertas vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 2
ASL
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
VNZ
41%
29%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
USC
3 - 2
ASL
47%
29%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ASL
4 - 1
USI
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 1
ASL
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 1
VIC
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 1
CRO
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 3
FRO
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 0
CRO
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 2
ARZ
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |