Lucchese Libertas vs Clodiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RIC
1 - 2
ASL
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ASL
1 - 0
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
IMO
0 - 1
ASL
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ASL
1 - 2
ROM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
3 - 3
ASL
17%
24%
60%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Clodiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CLO
2 - 1
COR
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 3
CLO
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CLO
2 - 2
MEZ
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 1
CLO
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CLO
0 - 2
VIR
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |