Lucchese Libertas vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASL
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 1
RAV
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 1
BRE
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
BRE
4 - 1
ASL
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
VER
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
TOR
2 - 1
PAD
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 1
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
PAD
2 - 3
FIA
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
FIA
2 - 1
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |