Lucchese Libertas vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
ACL
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASL
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRI
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 2
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 2
LEC
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 2
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
ACL
3 - 3
LEC
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |